Human Population Growth Slowly Advances

World population, 1750-2015 and projections until 2100

AS FAR BACK as 2013, the United Nations had projected that the world population was aiming at 9.6 billion people by 2050.

The Agency also suggested that the world would be 10.9 billion by 2100 upping from 7.2 billion people alive then, raising median estimates for population growth in 2050 and 2100.

As it was reported, the agency's prior best guess had humanity growth figured at 9.3 billion in 2050 and 10.1 billion in 2100.

The scary aspect was that these projections were reflecting adjustments to how high-fertility countries are behaving in less-developed nations with lower-income nations, mostly in sub-Saharan Africa.

Much of the uncertainty, the UN report says, has to do with births and whether citizens of lower-income nations will start to change their ways and have fewer children if and when the standard of living in those countries improves.

A picture of world population in the very long-run, experts suggest, fits the pattern of exponential growth.

Explaining what that means, they noted that when a population grows exponentially, it means the population increase is proportional to the size of the population.

Looking at key changes in population growth, a study opined that it was salient to observe how the world population changes over time saying it was useful to focus on the rate of change, rather than just levels.

To buttress the above, an annual population growth rate was projected and superimposed on the total world population for the period 1750-2010 in addition to projections up to 2100.

It was said that was the period in history when population growth changed most drastically.

Dating back:

·        Before 1800 the world population growth rate was always well below 1percent

·        In the course of the first fifty years of the 20th century annual growth increase to up to 2.1percent

·        Highest annual growth rate in history was recorded in 1962.

·        This means that while the world population quadrupled in the 20th century it may not double in the 21st century.

However, here's the big picture.

Watchers of population matters noted that:

·                    108 billion people have lived on our planet

·                    Meaning about 6.5percent of all people ever born are still alive

·                    Visualization plots estimates of the world population from 10,000 BCE

·                    It can be appreciated before 1,000 CE that population slowly can steadily increase from about 2.4 million in 10,000 BCE to 295 million in 1,000 CE

·                    By 1850, the world population had exceeded 1 billion people

On the final analysis, the UN -Medium Variant- projections show population increase until the end of the 21st century. This is where it concerns us, this is talking about our present times. That’s the point of relevance.

John Wilmoth, Director, Population Division, DESA, explained that these revisions reflect that developing regions are home to about 5.9 billion but expected to soar to 8.2 billion in 2050.

This means, population in developed nations will stay at about 1.3 billion incessantly.

Joke Kujenya (Ms.)

Editor, Population Journalism

Investigative Journalist, Social Media Enthusiast, Mentor, Trainer & Blogger

Media Mentors News AgencyPower Reporter of The Year, 2013

Staff of The Month, August 2013, The Nation

<journalistjoke@gmail.com>

Media Role in Reporting Population Issues

IN ALL my about 31-years of active journalism, I have always been passionate about population issues and reportage. But I have never had my personal newsroom until now, with this blog. 

An average journalist, a core professional that is, understands that media play a central role in informing the public about what happens in the world we live in. It is salient because we also, are affected in one way or the other.

Being the watchdog of the society, the media has a duty to report unregistered births, to start with, especially the births that take place in rural areas with no documentation of records to rely on, just as much as the numbers of daily deaths.

The media's role is more crucial because we are the conduit, the pipeline, the funnel regulating the flow of communication between the policymakers, the policy itself, others in the political system and the governed so we can all understand clearly what the policies are regarding issues of population and what factors determine what happens. 

One of the very important ways we could help stem population rising trend is to, from time-to-time, carry out research on population agencies whether they are living up to expectation in registering births in the country. 

We should shoot beyond our professional mantra of informing, educating and entertaining to letting the world know that our planet earth and its resources are finite. As such, these resources cannot support an infinite population of humans, let alone animals.

Reports say daily, over 225,000 or more people hungry for dinner each night.

As media professionals, especially as journalists, we need to hammer hard on key populations issues in order to help decrease population by providing adequate education in areas of human health, rights, environment and economic issues. 

An average human being needs to know how he or she contributes directly or indirectly to the problems at hand. This explains why population reporting demands technical delivery not an adhoc approach. It requires specialization. 

Journalism plays a pivotal role in keeping us informed and critically aware of important happenings around our daily lives. And given the importance of journalism and the current fluidity of the industry’s commercial circumstances, it is needful to have an up-to-date insight into what journalists themselves have to say about some of these matters on human existence. 

The United Nations Population Division (UNPD) estimates world population grows by nearly 80 million people a year or 1 million people roughly every 4.5 days. 

• But what does that mean for people’s lives? 

In the view of Ala Weisman, Journalist, Author, Produce and Professor, "Finding the people behind the numbers is critical".

Weisman, who focused his investigation on places that exemplified numerous dimensions of population dynamics, profiled: 

• Niger, the fastest growing country in the world where women have an average of seven children 
• Japan, where low fertility has led to population decline 
• Pakistan, whose persistently high population growth rate means it is poised to become one of the world’s largest countries in coming decades 
• Uganda and the Philippines, where innovative programmes linking conservation and family planning are part of strategies to preserve biodiversity while meeting a community’s health needs...

Looking at the picture painted by Weisman, "telling these human stories can help convey the complexity behind population-environment connections without losing our audience," said, Steve Sapienza, Senior Producer, Pulitzer Center on Crisis Reporting.

So as a Journalist, I got stories to investigate and report. 

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By the way, my name is

Joke Kujenya (Ms.)

Editor, Population Journalism

Investigative Journalist, Social Media Enthusiast, Mentor, Trainer & Blogger

Media Mentors News AgencyPower Reporter of The Year, 2013

Staff of The Month, August 2013, The Nation

<journalistjoke@gmail.com>

Figures: Nigeria Population 1960-2016

Today's a Sunday. So, I simply decided to look at, and bring to your attention, what other organizations have done about Nigeria's population matters. 

According to the  <tradingeconomics> data on Nigeria 1960-2017, the nation's total population was estimated at 186.0 million people in 2016, based on the immediate past census figures. Their posture was informed by reflecting on the period of 1960 when Nigeria had a population of 45.1 million people. 

Tradingeconomics posited that the population of Nigeria represents 2.35 percent of the world´s total population which arguably means that one person in every 43 people on the planet is a resident of Nigeria. 

Thus, the agency provided the latest reported value for Nigeria's population looking at previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news, plus -actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases all updated on August of 2017. 

The summary of the above data is also indicated below: 

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By the way, my name is
Joke Kujenya (Ms.)
Editor, Population Journalism
Investigative Journalist, Social Media Enthusiast, Mentor, Trainer & Blogger
Media Mentors News AgencyPower Reporter of The Year, 2013
Staff of The Month, August 2013, The Nation

<journalistjoke@gmail.com>

Complex Web of Population Reporting

World population heading towards 9.8 billion by 2050

Photo credit: Associated Press, United Nations

FOR  a number of years, I have been curious to know why there were no desks or beats, as they are tagged in journalism, I still doubt if there are in current times, created solely for population reporting. 

An ardent reader of newspaper in Nigeria will be conversant with the fact that population stories are reported as one-off news information. Similarly, if the general populace were to report on population issues; it will be presented from diverse view points. 

A major reason adduced to this by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) is that: economic development, equity, human health, environmental stability and issues of poverty reduction are things that journalists want to report on, but often, population subjects are linked together in a complex web, making it a difficult task.

Hence, media managers too, are left in the lurch when it comes to carving out a unit for population reportage.

In the forecasts by the Department of Economic and Social Affairs’ Population Division, the current world population of nearly 7.6 billion will increase to 8.6 billion by 2030, 9.8 billion in 2050 and 11.2 billion in 2100. Additionally, public policies, technological applications and cultural norms would contribute to compounding the confusion. 

Salient issues important to all countries of the world are: pollution, human health, economic development, loss of natural resources, food production, risks to vulnerable groups -the poor, indigenous and women and several others. 

Journalists need to understand the basics of successfully reporting on population, health and environment as well as the linkages between the demographic implications, consequences of health and environmental impacts for the overall good of humanity. 

The complexity thus calls for journalists to specialise in population reporting so that they can untangle the complex web to enable them present captivating reports to their readers and audience as the case applies. 

Salient issues important to all countries of the world, according to the USAID, are:

·         Pollution, human health

·         Economic development

·         Loss of natural resources

·         Food production

·         Risks to vulnerable groups -the poor, indigenous and women and several others.

Journalists need to understand the basics of successfully reporting on population, health and environment as well as the linkages between the demographic implications, consequences of health and environmental impacts for the overall good of humanity.

There is a call to action. All hands need to be on deck. Population matters isn't hard for the layman to understand. It is not hard for me, as a journalist to understand either. Here I am, responding to the call and I am taking action.  

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By the way, my name is
Joke Kujenya (Ms.)
Editor, Population Journalism
Investigative Journalist, Social Media Enthusiast, Mentor, Trainer & Blogger
Media Mentors News AgencyPower Reporter of The Year, 2013
Staff of The Month, August 2013, The Nation

<journalistjoke@gmail.com>

Consequences of an Over-crowded World

WHAT a caption? Can this world ever be over crowded? Crowded, yes. But overcrowded? That is unthinkable right. However, it can and could happen. Experts say the world is heading that way. But how, you may ask. 

Quoting from several sources, "some 6.7 billion people currently live on planet Earth today. Close to 3 billion more may be in the mix by 2050. Given those staggering numbers, it’s easy to assume surging human population is the real root of the world’s evils, from global warming to poverty, starvation to habitat loss. Experts on the subject still paint a far more complex portrait of the world’s population and what it portends. It’s by turns dire and hopeful, they predict. 

To drive home the picture succinctly, a 2008 report by a Magazine quoted some experts' photographic impression of the subject in view. I consider it wise we read together each of their postulations. 

In Paul Ehrlich's perspective: "I think it gives the wrong impression. Overpopulation is a huge problem. But most people think of it as just being too many people. It’s when you add up the numbers of people, how much they consume, and what kind of technologies they use, that it’s an accurate statement".

Also, Robert Engelman, noted that: “Overpopulation is not a term I like using very much because it implies that somebody who is here, shouldn’t be here. The idea that population itself is a great crisis is something of a misinterpretation of history when you realize that population has been growing for much of the history of the species, and certainly for most of the last 10,000 years".

Matthew Connelly, in his submission said: "Reducing the size of a population can mean that you increase the number of households because people are living by ones and twos and threes. When people live in smaller households, they tend to consume more of everything. That’s why it’s terribly deceptive to think that we can address the environmental problems of over-consumption just by getting people to have fewer kids. It’s more complicated than that".

It is thus without saying, with the impending population surge, there is a problem looming large on the horizon. Given these facts on various levels, population savvy  personnel suggest that "ongoing increase of human presence on the planet does have effects, but it didn’t just start having them last week or last year. So, it’s not a crisis the way that energy prices might be a crisis. But, there’s something real to the idea that suddenly, population is an issue in a way that it wasn’t a generation or a century ago..."

So then, what can you and I do about it? 

Ehrlich answers: "Population control doesn’t mean somebody saying: 'You personally have to do this.' 

"What population control consists of is for governments to have policies that encourage proper birth rates and proper death rates —trying to keep children alive once they’re born so we can have a tab on the real problems to tackle. "

By the way, my name is
Joke Kujenya (Ms.)
Editor, Population Journalism
Investigative Journalist, Social Media Enthusiast, Mentor, Trainer & Blogger
Media Mentors News AgencyPower Reporter of The Year, 2013
Staff of The Month, August 2013, The Nation

<journalistjoke@gmail.com>

Our Responsibility to Population Promotion

Photo: Joke with others at the training

FROM OBSERVATIONS, I doubt seriously if many of us in Nigeria know that population control is seriously needed if Nigerian’s are to leave sustainably . Everyone shouts, condemns and looks up to the government, who all may not know as much as we all do, that the responsibilities lie at our respective door steps. 

Two Fridays ago, on July 21st to be precise, we were converged on Action Health Premises in Fadeyi Lagos, at the instance of Development Communications Network (DEVCOMS), where I was made to train on the "Involvement of Media In Controlling Population Explosion.

Well, that's not the overall focus now. I shall revert to that but at a much latter time. But it was at that session that I realized within me that of a truth, I have a responsibility to be concerned about what becomes of my world, my nation, my state, my community and my immediate environment.

Imagine this! A Lagos State government official we both co-trained informed us that in my state of residence alone, Lagos, the authorities had averted 189,800 unsafe abortions and maternal deaths through family planning. The implication, if that had not been done, was that my state alone would have increased by that number. 

This reality stuck and brings home the fact that our world could be sitting on a gun powder, waiting to explode and they will call it population explosion. Again, that is a focus for the latter times. 

Our immediate concerns is what I want to focus on at the moment. As of today, lots of factors have been ascribed to work simultaneously to inhibit population control in Nigeria. But what are these factors if we all care to ask...?

The online dictionary, Wikipedia, says: "The growth of a population may be limited by environmental factors such as food supply or deprivation while the main biotic factors that affect population growth include: Food -both the quantity and the quality of food are important. 

However the question remains: where is population control needed most in Nigeria and what might inhibit its success? 

Authorities on population posit that the following factors, amongst many are generally considered to be the most important: 

High infant mortality: i.e. Perceived need to have many babies in expectation that some will survive to work and support aged parents etc... 

Male-child preference: i.e. Where certain cultures value male children than females for a variety of reasons which often leads to the continuous child birth in an attempt to have male children where the woman had been giving birth to only female children. 

Old-age social security: Several tribes and culture believe that children are the only form of support for them in their older lives. 

Faith Trend/Religion: The Christian faith prohibits every form of contraception and remain anti-abortion while large families, polygamy and early marriages are promoted by the Muslims. 

Lack of education: In relation to population education, sex education and the lowering of infant mortality and birth rates. This needs boost. 

Demographic data: What will the population of Nigeria in the face of a population growth rate of 2.56-percent and contributing 4-percent of the world’s yearly population? This becomes salient when put aside the prediction of environmental scientists that the world’s population will be between 10 and 20 billion, in which case, at present growth rate of 1.4-percent, the entire world will reach a carrying capacity within the next 50-100 years.

So, What is to be Done?

It is yours and my responsibility to get our leaders to understand that there is a major problem in the offing -the population is blowing up.
We need to get them to know that if our population continues to go up, the problem will not be solved by mere family planning. Rather, it will lead to colossal numbers in the death rates.
We need to let every young couple know that they don't have to have four children lest we experience a collapse of civilization and the death of nearly 7 billion people.

It's actually time to begin to draw the line!

By the way, my name is
Joke Kujenya (Ms.)
Editor, Population Journalism
Investigative Journalist, Social Media Enthusiast, Mentor, Trainer & Blogger
Media Mentors News AgencyPower Reporter of The Year, 2013
Staff of The Month, August 2013, The Nation

<journalistjoke@gmail.com>

Stemming the tide of population upshot

 

ACCORDING to the US Census Bureau there is one birth every 8 seconds, one death every 12 seconds, one international migrant (net) every 33 seconds, and a net gain of one person every 12 seconds in the United States.

On a general note, population growth is described as the average annual percent change in the population, resulting from a surplus (or deficit) of births over deaths and the balance of migrants entering and leaving a country. It notes that the rate may be positive or negative.

However, this growth rate is a factor in determining how great a burden would be imposed on a country by the changing needs of its people for infrastructure -e.g. schools, hospitals, housing, roads as well as other resources such as food, water, electricity and jobs. On a larger scale, rapid population growth is seen as threatening by many countries.

In the Nigerian instance, the index mundi on the Nigerian Population Growth Rate gives the nation’s rate at an estimation of 2.44percent by 2016. As of today, August 2^nd 2017, Nigeria’s current overall population was pegged at 192, 274, 975 based on the latest United Nations estimates.

This means, my nation ranks equivalent to 2.55percent of the total world population and number 7 in the list of countries and dependencies) by population, and still counting.

And for a country with a population forecast of 206,830,983 by the Year 2020, that is, just about three years away; still burdened with a continuously updated estimate of the current population, all hands need to be on deck to stem the tide.

Stemming the tide? Does that mean men and women shouldn’t get married again? Of course, not. It simply means that we need a saner and better moralised society.

Starting with you and I, your brother and sister, father and mother, government and the governed and all strata of the Nigerian society to be better enlightened and work at what we all can do to help our society.

Hence,

·         Nigeria must document the number of unmarried young men and women in the country

·         Our leaders need to have grips on the rising trend of illegal marriages, polygamy, bigamy and scores of teenage pregnancies.

·         Number of children born out of wedlock should be curbed …and

·         We all must do everything possible within our respective means to ensure that our beloved country, Nigeria, does not further exceed her already exceeded the carrying capacity.

We’ll continue tomorrow. Thank you for reading me.

I remain professionally yours,

By the way, my name is
Joke Kujenya
a.k.a. JK
Investigative Journalist, Social Media Enthusiast, Mentor, Trainer & Blogger
<journalistjoke@gmail.com>

World Population Day 2017: A Call for Action

World Population Day is an annual event, observed on July 11 every year, which seeks to raise awareness of global population issues. The event was established by the Governing Council of the United Nations Development Programme in 1989.

THE July 11th 2017 World Population Day focused on the unsustainable impacts of continued global population growth. It is assumed that this is putting increased pressure on government resources, the environment and those struggling to escape poverty. 

Amid that, hope still remains for the future as action to bring down and eventually reverse population growth can be taken. 

But how can this action be taken unless you and I know what exactly to do? Surprisingly, only a few number of world population was even aware that the WPD was commemorated, let alone, knowing there is a call on us all for action.

According to the United Nations, throughout the world, urban populations are growing in size at a considerably faster rate than rural populations. As a result, by the end of this century, and for the first time in history, the majority of the word's population will be living in
urban areas.  The UN also described urbanization as an element of the process of 
modernization. 

However, while in certain countries, this process is efficiently managed and maximum use is made of the advantages this management presents, in others, urbanization takes place in an
uncontrolled manner and is accompanied by overcrowding in certain districts, an increase in slums, deterioration of the environment, urban unemployment and many other social and economic problems. 

Painfully, this is just an embryonic impression of the humongous situation in view. While that remains an indisputable fact, there are actions you and I should take as beckoned on by the UN.

Expected Action:
In the estimation of the United Nations, global population will swell to 9 billion by the year 2050.  These growths, the UN affirms, will mostly occur in urban areas and emerging economies such as Asia, Latin America and sub-Saharan Africa, while cities such as Lagos State of Nigeria, Delhi in India and Sao Paolo in Brazil will become the largest in the world, while rural areas will lose inhabitants.

So, I bring this home. If Lagos, my city of birth, residence and career is going to be so overblown in a matter of years; then, it is quite salient that I take action along with many others. 

Based on current facts:
* One billion people around the world do not get enough to eat 
* A nearly equal amount about 1.4 billion are overweight and likely to suffer from various health problems such as diabetes, high blood pressure, and heart disease 
* More than 200 million women across the globe have unmet needs for contraception, keeping them from planning and how many children they want to have and when 
* Women farmers lack access to land, credit and education and they find it harder for them to provide for their families
* U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization estimates that if women had the same access to these services as men, global malnutrition could be reduced by 12 to 17 percent...

I can go on but these suffice. As we all come to the realization of the impending population crises, let us take the following actions but not limited to these... In fact, you can share more as you think of actions that can be taken.

Action Points:
* Share sex education and birth control knowledge with the younger generation
* Support Family Planning and Child Spacing Programmes
* As a grandparent, don’t pressure your children to give more grandchildren they can afford to cope with
* Encourage your couples to consider the number of children they would have 
* Sensitize people in your immediate environment
*Talk about all of this out in the open and talk as much as possible. 

By the way, my name is
Joke Kujenya
a.k.a. JK
Investigative Journalist, Social Media Enthusiast, Mentor, Trainer & Blogger
journalistjoke@gmail.com